Halifax's recent House Price Index has certainly received a lot of attention as it's counter to what was expected a few months ago. It reports a steady uptick in UK house prices, marking the fourth consecutive monthly rise. The average house price has risen by 1.3% from December 2023, now standing at £291,029—a cash increase of £3,924. Twelve-month figures show a robust 2.5% growth, the highest since January 2023.
Estate agents attribute an uptick in buyer confidence to a combination of this data and recent reductions in mortgage interest rates, resulting in increased property valuations, listings, and viewings. However, lingering concerns about the cost of living make the market price-sensitive, cautioning against over-optimism.
People have been pouring over this data to understand what it might mean for the year ahead. Marc von Grundherr, director at London estate agents Benham and Reeves, has anticipated a fruitful year for the property market, citing a surge in house prices, new listings, and buyer offers.
Despite heightened housing activity, Kim Kinnaird, director at Halifax Mortgages, notes that interest rates remain relatively high compared to recent lows, with demand continuing to outstrip supply. Affordability remains a challenge, with the average deposit now reaching £53,414, prompting many new buyers to purchase jointly. Looking ahead, Kinnaird warns of possible modest price declines amidst ongoing economic uncertainty.
Insights from Estate Agents: Positive Outlook for the Housing Market
Other estate agents echo Halifax's findings, confirming an upward trend in the housing market. Some anticipate sharp price increases in certain areas.
Simon Gerrard, MD of Martyn Gerrard Estate Agents, noted a pause in property searches in 2023 due to economic uncertainty. With the economy stabilising and lenders responding to controlled inflation with lower interest rates, Gerrard predicts a surge in prices, particularly in London.
Jeremy Leaf, a North London estate agent, observed increased activity in valuations, listings, and viewings.
Regional House Price Trends: Northern Ireland Leads Growth, South East Sees Decline
According to the recent Halifax House Price Index, Northern Ireland emerged as the frontrunner in annual house price growth across the UK, surging by 5.3% to an average of £195,760. Scotland and Wales also witnessed positive growth, with house prices climbing by 4% annually to £206,087 and £219,609, respectively.
Additionally, regions like the North West (+3.2%), Yorkshire and Humber (+2.8%), North East (+2.0%), and East Midlands (+0.5%) saw upticks in house prices over the past year.
More locally, things are a little different. Last month, the South East experienced the sharpest decrease in house prices, with properties fetching an average of £379,220, marking a 2.3% decline from the previous month. Meanwhile, London maintained its top spot with the highest average house price nationwide, reaching £529,528. However, prices in the capital have seen a slight annual decrease of 0.4%.
Adapting to Regional Realities: Navigating Mortgage Trends in a Dynamic Market
Looking ahead in the mortgage industry, these shifts in house prices carry significant implications. The South East's recent decline is obviously good news for buyers as it makes properties more affordable. However, it could mean higher loan-to-values for those wanting to remortgage, and those wanting to move may see the current home reduced by more than the new property. Conversely, London's continued position as the priciest market, despite a slight annual decrease, underscores its resilience amidst market fluctuations. This could indicate enduring demand but also highlights the importance of navigating affordability concerns in the capital.
As a mortgage broker, my job is to understand your needs and circumstances, explore options and demystify terms so that you can make informed decisions. My aim is to streamline the mortgage process for clients, offering clarity and peace of mind in what could otherwise be a bewildering journey. With over 20 years of experience, I'm used to helping clients navigate fluctuating market conditions to find a solution that's best for them.
